Economic news

USD/CNH has edged through the spike high on April 2, following the Liberation Day tariff announcement.

China has plenty of fundamental backing now to let it currency depreciate. That surely won’t set the stage for an improvement in relations but escalating tariffs at this point is more a function of rhetoric than trade. I would expect Chinese exports to fall catastrophically with the promised 104% tariff.

Notably, this 7.34 level is still below the December high of 7.37, which should offer some resistance.

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

Markets whipsaw as White House sticks to severe import levies

OPEC+ picked the worst-possible time to accelerate a return of barrels to the market and that pushed WTI as low as $58.95 today.

The influential secondary sources survey from Reuters has March OPEC output down 110K bpd despite a scheduled increase in production. That dip might help to explain why the organization accelerated output, or thought it could.

Output from Nigeria, Iran and Venezuela fell by 50k bpd in the month, with the latter two likely due to fresh US sanctions. Those two aren’t subject to quotas but Nigeria is.

The survey showed Saudia Arabia, Iraq and the UAE were all at or slightly under quota.

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

US, European and Asian indices fall as traders raise bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts

Trump welcomes fall in oil price as he signals he is pushing ahead with sweeping tariffs

Bill Ackman said that America is heading toward a self-inflicted “economic nuclear winter” as a result of President Donald Trump’s tariff policy rollout.