ONTRADE Forex
Lower Trump tariff on UK is no thanks to diplomacy | Letters

Lower Trump tariff on UK is no thanks to diplomacy | Letters

John Bailey does the sums on the 10% tariff imposed by the US, and Lee Wilkinson has a Crocodile Dundee moment

Not surprisingly, Labour ministers are claiming the imposition of “only” a 10% across-the-board tariff on UK exports to America (excluding steel, aluminium and automobiles, already hit with a 25% rate) as vindication of their diplomatic skill in dealing with Donald Trump (‘It could’ve been much worse’: how UK avoided a bigger blow from Trump tariffs, 5 April).

In fact, the figure of 10% owes less to diplomacy and rather more to the method used to calculate the tariff. The algorithm applied is simple (and simplistic) in the extreme: the tariff equals either the total deficit in US trade with a particular country, divided by the value of that country’s exports to America and then halved, or a default 10%, whichever is larger (Trump’s ‘idiotic’ and flawed tariff calculations stun economists, 3 April).

Continue reading…

Read More
How to Invest: Buying the Dip

How to Invest: Buying the Dip

Buying the Dip — When to Be Patient, When to Step In, and Why Sometimes It Pays to Wait

A timely investing guide for younger investors facing a market pullback — and wondering whether to buy the dip or stay in cash.

“Being out of the market isn’t fear — sometimes it’s discipline.”

Context: Year 2025 Tariffs, Trump, and Market Jitters

The news cycle just got louder. Former President Donald Trump has proposed sweeping new tariffs, triggering market concerns about inflation, global trade tensions, and corporate profit margins. Stock indexes have pulled back — again.

So the question many younger investors are asking: Should I buy the dip now? Or wait?

That’s what this article will help answer.

Why Buying the Dip Sounds Easy — But Isn’t

In theory, buying when others are fearful sounds like a smart strategy.
But in reality, most investors:

  • Jump in too early

  • Underestimate how long pullbacks can last

  • Over-size their positions

  • Get emotional when the market keeps falling

That’s why the best dip-buying strategies combine:

✅ Patience✅ Position sizing discipline✅ A clear sense of what you’re betting on — and why

The Investing Wisdom of Waiting

One of the most overlooked investing truths:Being out of the market is a position too.

Just because stocks are falling doesn’t mean you must act. Sometimes, cash is the best trade.

Example:

In the past few weeks, even as markets declined sharply, we at the InvestingLive Stocks Telegram channel had three dip-buying attempts — on AMD, Boeing, and Microsoft. All three trades were stopped out, each with an average 2% loss. But our overall participation was low by design. While many other investors stayed fully invested and absorbed the full extent of the market’s slide, we stayed nimble. By avoiding deeper exposure, we’ve clearly outperformed the broader market during this correction — simply by staying out when conditions didn’t favor our approach.

This approach differs greatly from the common mistake of continuing to invest money after losing money in a failing position. Whether it’s a struggling startup, a sour real estate investment, or a stock with a broken narrative — throwing more capital at a deteriorating setup is often a recipe for regret. If your original bullish premise no longer holds, it’s usually wiser to step away than to double down.

At InvestingLive, when we attempt to buy the dip, we don’t blindly average down. Instead, we cast a net of three layered orders within a predefined buy zone. If only one or two fill, we still participate in the potential rebound — with predefined stop-losses to protect our downside. That’s not persistence — that’s a system. Risk is capped. The zone is clear. And if the plan fails, we step aside.

Just like with startups, one follow-up investment after signs of potential may be justified. But two or more failed attempts — without any progress or pivot — should be a signal to stop. In investing, digging deeper into a hole rarely ends well.

The Art of Buying a Pullback — Without Losing Your Nerve

If you are going to buy a dip:

Step 1: Start Small, Scale Slowly

  • Don’t go all in at the first green candle, reversals typically need to ‘build their base’. True, there are ‘V reversals’ that don’t, but they are rare! Chill out with the FOMO and wait for more confirmation.

  • Use position sizing — buy a small amount, and only add if your thesis holds

Step 2: Define the Story You’re Betting On

  • Are you betting that the tariff fears are overdone?

  • That strong earnings will eventually overpower the fear?

  • Or that markets are just having a temporary panic?

Whatever the story is — define it. Write it down.

If the story breaks, stop adding.

Step 3: Expect to Be Early

  • Accept that your first buy will likely show an unrealized loss

  • Plan around it — it’s part of the strategy

Patience Isn’t Laziness — It’s an Investing Skill

Most failed dip buys don’t fail because the idea was wrong.
They fail because:

  • The investor had no plan

  • The position was too large

  • They panicked when the dip got deeper

📉 Tip: Markets often pull back for 2–3 months on the monthly chart — not just a few days or weeks.
That means a 3–10% drop can turn into 15–20% before a bottom forms.

Buying early is okay — if you size for it.
But trying to time the bottom and go all in? That’s asking for trouble.

The Power of Scaling In

If you want to buy the dip, try using a ladder approach:

  • Buy 25% of your intended position on the first drop

  • Add another 25% if the market falls 5–8% more

  • Add the rest only if the broader setup improves

This gives you:

  • Emotional clarity

  • More flexibility

  • Less risk of overexposure

Quote to Remember

“Sometimes the best trade is no trade. Cash isn’t fear — it’s fuel for when the right opportunity comes.”

Read Next for Your Investing Education:

Brand Transition Note ForexLive is becoming investingLive.com — delivering real-world investing advice for everyday traders and investors.

Looking for Timely Stock Trade Ideas?
Tired of missing great investing trades or getting lost in noisy groups?

InvestingLive Stocks delivers free, focused investing trade ideas right when you need them:

  • S&P 500 & Nasdaq 100 stocks in focus — including large caps & momentum setups

  • Unique investing opportunities you won’t find anywhere else

  • Fast, actionable, noise-free alerts

  • Smart entries + smart exits (buyTheDip setups included)

Join free on Telegram: https://t.me/investingLiveStocks

This article was written by Itai Levitan at www.forexlive.com.

Read More
Larry Fink warns about inflation impacts of tariffs, says we’re probably in a recession

Larry Fink warns about inflation impacts of tariffs, says we’re probably in a recession

Blackrock CEO Larry Fink says he worries that the White House actions are much more inflationary than the market expects. He also said he sees a zero percent chance of four or five Fed rate cuts this year.

He said he sees this as more of a buying opportunity but added “that doesn’t mean we can’t fall another 20% from here”.

Fink said the US economy is probably in a recession right now.

Fink is speaking at the Economic Club of New York.

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

Read More
USDCHF spike stalls at key moving average resistance and backs off.

USDCHF spike stalls at key moving average resistance and backs off.

USDCHF spiked higher as headline-driven volatility sent yields and the USD surging. However, the upside move met resistance, with price stalling just below the falling 100-hour moving average at 0.86736. The high reached 0.86678, narrowly missing the MA level before rotating back lower. That rejection reinforces the importance of the 100-hour MA as a key resistance level to watch going forward.

On the downside, the 4-hour chart highlights a support swing area between 0.85309 and 0.85570 (see red numbered circles on the chart below).

Between these broader levels lies a key mid-range zone defined by the 38.2% retracement and a secondary swing area between 0.86078 and 0.86190. This area will act as a barometer for short-term directional bias (see blue numbered circles on the 4-hour chart).

Buyers took there shot, but stalled the rally. So buyers and sellers are now in a battle.

This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.

Read More
Offshore yuan weakens below Liberation Day after Trump threatens more tariffs

Offshore yuan weakens below Liberation Day after Trump threatens more tariffs

USD/CNH has edged through the spike high on April 2, following the Liberation Day tariff announcement.

China has plenty of fundamental backing now to let it currency depreciate. That surely won’t set the stage for an improvement in relations but escalating tariffs at this point is more a function of rhetoric than trade. I would expect Chinese exports to fall catastrophically with the promised 104% tariff.

Notably, this 7.34 level is still below the December high of 7.37, which should offer some resistance.

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

Read More